In matters where we have no personal interest – Canadian logging say – then we will usually reflexively follow the adage “if a little won’t do a little, then a lot won’t do a lot” if some venture or initiative fails. IE we reinforce success.
However, on matters where we do have a personal favorable interest, then that goes out the window and we reflexively start to think that things just “did not go far enough” and more resources are needed and we start believing in Green Lantern Theory and the Care Bear Stare.
“Confidence is the feeling you have before you fully understand the situation”
I just finished A Short History of Nearly Everything by Bill Bryson and the unstated theme of all science is that the theory is strong but the evidence is weak. We are here to understand, but nothing is here to be understood.