The best cases for Trump and Biden

For Trump:

  1. Regulation – it’s down, hopefully that will continue
  2. Pushback against the lockdown everywhere urge. A nuanced view is the one to have, Trump seems to come closest to that, depressingly.
  3. Foreign Policy – Trump is the most peaceful president since Jimmy Carter – which is of great surprise
  4. A profound lack of ambition and desire for a place in history – mixed with decline in energy due to age means that the pros/deep state are in charge – we’ve survived that for quite a while.

For Biden

  1. State capacity
  2. Should Biden be elected then the American effort will become a giant success, and the lockdown efforts can get a bit more intelligent
  3. A general cooling down of mood
  4. Similar to #4 above decline in energy due to age means that the pros/deep state are in charge – we’ve survived that for quite a while.

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