The best cases for Trump and Biden
For Trump:
- Regulation – it’s down, hopefully that will continue
 - Pushback against the lockdown everywhere urge. A nuanced view is the one to have, Trump seems to come closest to that, depressingly.
 - Foreign Policy – Trump is the most peaceful president since Jimmy Carter – which is of great surprise
 - A profound lack of ambition and desire for a place in history – mixed with decline in energy due to age means that the pros/deep state are in charge – we’ve survived that for quite a while.
 
For Biden
- State capacity
 - Should Biden be elected then the American effort will become a giant success, and the lockdown efforts can get a bit more intelligent
 - A general cooling down of mood
 - Similar to #4 above decline in energy due to age means that the pros/deep state are in charge – we’ve survived that for quite a while.